Geno Smith was a pleasant surprise for the Seattle Seahawks and Fantasy owners alike last season, but will he be one of the 2023 Fantasy football sleepers? Seattle added another weapon to their passing game when the team selected Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the first round of the NFL Draft. Smith will likely be a more confident version of himself after last season, but are you confident enough to target him in your 2023 Fantasy football rankings? Smith had the highest completion percentage among all passers with at least 100 attempts last season (69.9%) and a bonafide threat at running back in Kenneth Walker III. A reliable set of 2023 Fantasy football QB rankings will help you determine if Smith has a chance to improve on last season or if there are better options at quarterback for your team.
You'll need to target 2023 Fantasy football sleepers and 2023 Fantasy football breakouts while avoiding 2023 Fantasy football busts. Before setting your 2023 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2023 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel was being dramatically overvalued. Samuel was the sixth receiver coming off the board on average, but the model had him ranked outside the top 10. The result: Samuel followed up a season in which he had 1,770 scrimmage yards and 14 touchdowns by producing just 864 yards and five scores.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's enormous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2023 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2023 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2023, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2023 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2023 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Eagles running back Rashaad Penny. Once again, a promising look from Penny ended prematurely due to injury last season after he averaged 6.07 yards per carry on 57 rushes before going down with a tibia fracture. This season, he'll run behind one of the NFL's best offensive lines, but will compete for touches with fellow free agent addition D'Andre Swift.
Swift has a checkered injury history of his own and neither appears likely to stay completely healthy all year. Penny started training camp getting first-team reps, and remember, Miles Sanders put up 1,269 yards with 11 touchdowns in Philly's offense in 2022. Penny is always a high-risk, high-reward player, but the model projects him to have more Fantasy value than other backs like Khalil Herbert, Jeff Wilson and Elijah Mitchell. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2023 here.
Top 2023 Fantasy football breakouts
The model is also projecting Packers receiver Christian Watson as one of its 2023 Fantasy football breakouts. After being a second-round pick out of FCS school North Dakota State, Watson had a steep NFL learning curve as a rookie last year. But he took off once he became more comfortable and ranked 109th in positional Fantasy points from Weeks 1 to 9 before jumping to the WR4 from Weeks 10 to 18.
Watson should lean closer to the latter as a sophomore, even with the potential downgrade at QB for Green Bay. The wideout also won't have to fight for targets with the departed Allen Lazard, who led Green Bay in receptions and yards a year ago. SportsLine has Watson among its top 12 Fantasy receivers this season. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2023 here.
Top 2023 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence as one of its 2023 Fantasy football busts. Regression is a concern for a team that won many games in improbable fashion last season. As spectacular as it was at times, the Jaguars' offense was still prone to turnovers and Lawrence still hasn't mastered the art of the checkdown. The Jaguars gave themselves many extra possessions last season, and the defense shouldn't be expected to create as many takeaways as it did in 2022.
Lawrence may still be the quarterback the Jags need him to be for them to find success, but the addition of Calvin Ridley alone may not outweigh the other unique events Jacksonville counted on last season. Additionally, starting left tackle Cam Robinson will be suspended for the first four games and Jacksonville will start a rookie right tackle on the other side. The model projects Lawrence to have a weaker Fantasy season than others drafted after him like Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff and Russell Wilson. See more Fantasy football busts 2023 here.
How to find proven 2023 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2023 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2023 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2023 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.
